Another Miss of Rochester
As a summer weather enthusiast, I am not complaining one bit as the latest coastal storm pounds the mid Atlantic region for the second time in under a week rewriting many snowfall records in the Nation’s Capital region that have stood the test of time… although, as a weather fanatic, I wouldn’t mind seeing a significant storm hit the area, but snow and winter weather lovers alike will have to wait.
Regional radars show the bulk of the activity to our south and south east. Putting the radar in motion, the snow is trying to make a run for the Rochester area, but it falling apart as it approaches due to a lack in upper level dynamics and probably some down slopping issues. At this point, I wouldn’t expect to see much more out of this storm although as the storm pivots later this afternoon, a hour or so period of light snow may cross the Genesee valley from the north. Regardless, 1-2″ at most will accumulate today. Temperatures not too bad out there (albeit below normal) running within a few degrees of 30.
As with the last week’s Nor’easter, as it rides up the eastern seaboard, our wind direction will back from the northeast to the northwest later tonight into Thursday. Cold air advection will commence early Thursday and I expect the lake to respond with mostly cloudy skies and a few flurries. Highs on Wednesday will remain 10 degrees below normal in the mid 20s.
A similar story for Friday. A few flurries off of the lake, but I think we’ll tap into a little more afternoon breaks of sun. Temperatures steady in the middle 20s.
Where’s the warm weather? Perhaps you’re asking that and that is a good question because I have no idea where it is. Well, I know where it is, but the pattern we’re currently stuck in shows no signs of changing for at least 7 days. Until a significant change in the upper level pattern, things will remain below normal (temperature wise) for at least a week…


February 10th, 2010 at 11:18 pm
This is traditionally one of the coldest parts of the year, so we’ll tough it out.
As for the prospect of another major snowstorm hitting Rochester… the odds are against you. Even though it is the coldest part of the year, we’re adding energy to the atmosphere, so the chance of a super-cold blast to kick off a lake-effect event is becoming slim. Meanwhile, being downslope from the Appalachians is going to kill any Nor’easter headed our way.
So, the prospect of a major Rochester snowfall this year is about the same as that of a cold front passing through Sheol. Sorry.