A upper level low and a surface low pressure system has stalled over Eastern Canada and will continue to circulate cool moist air through our area until the end of the work week. The west-northwest return flow around the low will keep on moving this cold air over the warm lake waters triggering lake effect development off of both lakes. This will keep skies on the cloudy side (but a few peaks of sun as well) with a few scattered showers moving through at any given time. Highs temperatures will remain a good 8-10 degrees below normal until the weekend.

Between yesterday and early this morning, Lake Erie has been quite active churning out lake effect rain showers in the Buffalo area. The Buffalo airport set a new daily rainfall record of 3.55″ of rain in a 24 hour period. If it was only 20 or so degrees colder, Buffalo would be buried under several feet of snow.

Back to Rochester, for Tuesday night, skies will remain mostly cloudy. A few showers off of the lake will pass by; however, nothing nearly as heavy as to what Buffalo witnessed. Lows will range from 40-45°.

Cool and cloudy conditions will continue for Wednesday. Skies will remain mostly cloudy, but a few passing rays of sunshine are likely. The best we’ll do for a high is in the mid 50s. A pesky west breeze won’t help make it feel any warmer, that’s for sure.